沁颍

8/4/2014

U.S. equity futures (/ES) are pointing to a higher open as the market tries to rebound from its biggest weekly drop in more than two years. Last week the market endured one of its heaviest loads of news flow all year with a barrage of earnings reports, a large amount of economic data, the FOMC meeting, and geopolitical events in both Russia and Israel. Less economic data and fewer earnings reports will be released this week, and Israel has shown signs of slowing its offensive in Gaza, all of which is providing a lift to the futures in early trading. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) finished last week up over 30% and settled above $17 for the first time since early April. Option premium expansion is finally picking up some steam but the ‘Fear Gauge’ should give some gains back today if we remain in positive territory.



Treasuries are relatively flat this morning. The 10-year yield is back above 2.50% and once again bounced off support at the 2.45% level last week. European markets are up modestly on Portugal's central bank announcement of a bailout of beleaguered Banco Espirito. Chinese stocks gained over 1.5% today but Japanese stocks have fallen sharply over the last few sessions, with financials and transporters leading the losses. Investors turned risk averse due to the last week's U.S. stock sell-off and concerns over Argentina's default and Portuguese banking problems. U.S. calendar is thin today with just the TD Ameritrade’s IMX reading on retail client sentiment.



Stock Stories:

Michael Kors (KORS) – Stay out of the Malls! – The high-end retailer posted better than expected earnings this morning. The company beat EPS estimates by 12% and top-line revenue also crushed expectations.  The company also raised FY15 estimates going forward. KORS shares are up over 3% ahead of the opening bell.



Major Economic Reports:

11:30 am CT – TD Ameritrade IMX



Notable Earnings:   

Monday – 8/4:

Before Market:  CAH, CAN, L, KORS

After Market:  AIG, CAR, CKP, MRO, THC, VVUS



Tuesday – 8/5:

Before Market: ADM, COH, CVS, EMR, FE, IFF, ISIS, MGM, MWW, ODP, REGN, VSI, VMC

After Market:  ACAD, ATVI, ATHL, CLR, DIS, EOG, FEYE, FSLR, GRPN, PBPB, TTWO, Z, ZGNX

沁颍

8/5/2014

U.S. equity futures (/ES) are lower this morning following yesterday’s moderate advance. Yesterday's gains came after the market last week suffered its biggest weekly loss in two years. Although the rally provided a break from four days of losses, weakness into the close showed that investors are still cautious. The latest cease fire between Israel and Hamas is holding, and investors will be watching to see if it continues to remain in place. Investors will also be examining several pieces of economic data today. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) fell over 11% yesterday on the positive move in stocks. Today’s negative tone should provide additional option premium if stocks remain in the red.



Treasuries are relatively flat again this morning. The 10-year yield is just below the 2.5% level and continues to consolidate near this level. Positive PMI readings overnight from the U.K. and Europe helped support equities and weigh on bonds although Euro-zone retail sales disappointed slightly. China's PMI was also a little weaker than expected. There's not a lot on today's U.S. slate to provide any new direction. PMI services report an ISM non-mfg. for July are the focal points, but may have little impact since the data follows the FOMC meeting and the key July jobs numbers.



Stock Stories:

American Intl. Group (AIG) – Covered – The insurer blew away estimates on its quarterly report yesterday after the close. The company beat EPS estimates by 19% and announced an additional share repurchase authorization of $2B.  AIG shares are up 2% ahead of the opening bell.



Coach (COH) – Put me in Coach! – The high-end retailer posted better than expected earnings this morning.  The company had seen a massive stock slide recently on lower sales and margins but they beat lowered expectations soundly. The shares are up 7% in the pre-market.



Major Economic Reports:

6:45 am CT – GS Store Sales – up 0.2% for week

8:45 am CT– PMI Services Index

9:00 am CT – Factory Orders

9:00 am CT – ISM Non-Mfg. Index



Notable Earnings:   

Tuesday – 8/5:

Before Market:  ADM, COH, CVS, EMR, FE, IFF, ISIS, MGM, MWW, ODP, REGN, VSI, VMC

After Market:  ACAD, ATVI, ATHL, CLR, DIS, EOG, FEYE, FSLR, GRPN, PBPB, TTWO, Z, ZGNX



Wednesday – 8/6:

Before Market: ANR, AOL, ARIA, CHK, CTS, DVN, DISH, FWLT, FOX, NUS, RL, SEP, TWX, VIAB

After Market:  AGU, ATML, CTL, CF, DYN, GMCR, MCP, RIG, SLF, SYMC, ZU

aimei

谢谢
这几个股票丫丫宝贝可能有，提醒一下
FEYE, FSLR, GRPN,

沁颍

8/6/2014

U.S. equity futures (/ES) are lower this morning following yesterday’s sharp decline. Yesterday's losses came after reports that Russia added troops and vehicles to the border with Ukraine. A Polish official also stated that Russia was amassing huge battalions in the region. Reports of sanctions by Russia to the Euro-Zone also had markets on edge. Weakness this morning is being attributed to the geopolitical concerns and negative economic data out of Europe. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) rose 12% yesterday on the sell-off in stocks. We should see more upside pressure in the ‘Fear Gauge’ today if losses continue to mount for equities. Key technical levels were breached on the downside for stocks yesterday, which could also add to the negative tone for markets.



Treasuries have caught a bid this morning and are adding to yesterday’s gains. Bonds saw a sharp reversal higher yesterday afternoon after trading in the red for most of the morning. The 10-year yield is now firmly below the 2.5% level and may hit levels last seen in June near 2.4%. Asian markets were lower overnight following losses in the U.S. yesterday. Europe’s economy may provide extra tension for Wall Street today. Stock futures pushed into the red after news that Italy unexpectedly fell back into recession in the second quarter, as its gross domestic product shrank. There's not a lot on today's U.S. slate to provide any new direction.



Stock Stories:

Disney (DIS) – UnFrozen – The entertainment giant posted better than expected results on its quarterly report yesterday after the close. The company saw profits and revenue increase on the heels of its movie Frozen and ESPN’s World Cup coverage.  DIS shares are flat ahead of the opening bell but spiked higher in the post-market yesterday.



First Solar (FSLR) –Charged – The solar company posted a mixed earnings report after the close yesterday.  Although the business is strong and growing, it takes a forensic accountant to figure out all the charges and fiscal maneuvering reported. The shares are down a few percent in the pre-market.



Major Economic Reports:

6:00 am CT – MBA Purchase Applications

7:30 am CT – International Trade

9:30 am CT – Oil Inventories



Notable Earnings:   

Wednesday – 8/6:

Before Market:  ANR, AOL, ARIA, CHK, CTS, DVN, DISH, FWLT, FOX, NUS, RL, SEP, TWX, VIAB

After Market:  AGU, ATML, CTL, CF, DYN, GMCR, MCP, RIG, SLF, SYMC, ZU



Thursday – 8/7:

Before Market: CPK, CTB, DNDN, DUK, HSH, JASO, MYL, PBH, TM

After Market:  ALNY, CBS, ED, ELX, MBI, MNST, SCTY, ZNGA

沁颍

8/7/2014

U.S. equity futures (/ES) are suggesting a slight bounce for the broader market as investors prepare for the weekly jobless claims data. There are expected to be 304K initial claims after last week’s unexpected rise. Stocks dumped early yesterday but bounced and finished the session slightly positive. Investors ignored Russian President Putin’ comments after he fired back at Western sanctions on Wednesday, ordering bans on imports of food and other products from countries that imposed the restrictions.  The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) fell slightly yesterday on retrace from lows in stocks. We have seen quite a bit of movement in the ‘Fear Gauge’ recently but it remains relatively low considering all the global risks that are present.



Treasury yields are lower again, in tandem with bond rallies overseas as stocks are mostly lower. Weaker than expected German production was one cause for the drop in the Euro-Zone markets. Geopolitical tensions and Russian sanctions also are keeping a bid in the safety of bonds. The Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) decided this morning that interest rates will remain unchanged. The deposit rate will also remain the same which is still negative 0.10%. The Bank of England also maintained a steady stance in its policy decision. ECB President Drahgi will make comments in a news conference this morning which may rattle markets. The U.S. data slate is light with just initial jobless claims for the week ended August 9.



Stock Stories:

Keurig Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) – Steamed – The single serve coffee maker posted better than expected EPS numbers but missed on top-line revenue estimates. The company raised FY14 but GMCR shares are down slightly ahead of the opening bell.



Major Economic Reports:

7:30 am CT– Weekly Jobless Claims

9:30 am CT – Natural Gas Inventories



Notable Earnings:   

Thursday – 8/7:

Before Market:  CPK, CTB, DNDN, DUK, HSH, JASO, MYL, PBH, TM

After Market:  ALNY, CBS, ED, ELX, MBI, MNST, SCTY, ZNGA



Friday – 8/8:

Before Market: AMRN, PGNX

After Market:  N/A

我想飞

蟹蟹~~

沁颍

8/8/2014

U.S. equity futures (/ES) were deep in negative territory but have roared back over the last hour and are now positive. Reports that Russia is attempting to De-escalate the conflict in Ukraine have turned stocks higher. President Obama has authorized air strikes In Iraq but has vowed not to deploy ground troops to fight rebels there. The market sold off yesterday afternoon as investors speculated that the U.S. military would become involved in the country. The turmoil in Ukraine still has traders on edge as Russia beefed up it rhetoric against the West yesterday. Earnings continue to roll out, and investors will be watching the wholesale inventory report as well as headlines coming out of the Middle East and Russia. Oil (/CL) and Gold (/GC) prices are also higher while global stock markets are selling off and equity market volatility jumps higher.



The flight to safety continued to put a bid in bonds with the 10-year Treasury yield outperforming and dropping below 2.4%. President Obama's approval of potential limited air strikes in Iraq led to risk off sentiment globally. Japan's Nikkei led global equities lower with a near 3% drop after the Bank of Japan left policy unchanged, as expected, but noted some weakness in exports. Russian sanctions continue to weigh on investor sentiment in the Euro-zone, and Germany in particular. Bullish momentum, technical, and a dangerous world heading into the weekend should keep Treasury gains intact. There shouldn't be much impact from today's limited calendar that includes Q2 productivity and wholesale trade. Rather, traders will be keeping an eye on geopolitics and overseas markets, as well as looking ahead to economic data next week.



Stock Stories:

Lululemon (LULU) – No Pants – Lululemon Athletica announced that its founder Chip Wilson and Advent International have entered into an agreement under which Advent will acquire approximately 50% of Wilson’s ownership in the company, or approximately 13.85% of the company’s outstanding shares, for approximately $845M. LULU shares have been under pressure for almost a year but are up over 5% ahead of the opening bell.



Major Economic Reports:

7:30 am CT – Productivity & Costs

9:00 am CT– Wholesale Trade



Notable Earnings:   

Friday – 8/8:

Before Market:  AMRN, PGNX

After Market:  N/A



Monday – 8/11:

Before Market:  DF, GOGO, HNR, PCLN, SYY

After Market:  AMBC, APP, CZR, NUAN, RAX, VTR

我想飞

Thx. ICPT in the AH.

沁颍

Weekend Update  August 10, 2014

Stocks ended the week up sharply on Friday despite the geopolitical risks evident across the globe. Markets swung violently this past week, mostly on news from overseas but U.S. news was mostly favorable. The U.S. economy appears to be in moderately healthy shape early into the third quarter and earnings are mostly positive. The past week started out positively on the Portugal bailout of its major bank but stocks quickly fell on escalation concerns in Russia and Ukraine. Russian bans on imports sent stocks lower on Thursday but reversed course sharply to end the week as rumors of a solution surfaced. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) was up a modest 0.3% for the week and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NDX) gained 0.4%. The Blue Chip-heavy Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DJI) was also up 0.4% while the small caps (RUT, IWM) led markets and finished up 1.5%.



The rollercoaster in equities this week provided some spotty spikes in option volatility but it eventually slid into the close on Friday. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) fell over 7% for the week. The ‘Fear Gauge’ is firmly above the $15 level but any further upside move for stocks will quickly put a damper on our euphoria of increased option premium. Hopefully the news-driven markets will continue to provide more opportunities in our risk-defined strategies.



Treasury rates fell moderately this past week. Monday and Tuesday were relatively quiet but Yields dipped somewhat Wednesday on flight to safety over concerns regarding tensions in Ukraine and Gaza. The U.S., NATO, and Poland warned about the possibility of Russia sending troops into eastern Ukraine, which put a bid in on Bonds. Flight to safety continued Thursday and as soft economic growth was seen globally and they ended the week with a whimper as Friday saw flat action. We still feel the Treasury market will continue to lead the stock market direction in the near-term.



This week ahead has a variety of key releases after a week of minimal news. The two that stand out are manufacturing and the consumer sector, which has shown moderate renewed strength—especially with improvement in jobless claims. The proof will be in the pudding with retail sales for July which are released Wednesday. Markets may also move on Friday's consumer sentiment report. Also, though not expected, a high PPI figure could raise worries about early Fed tightening. The bottom line is that the economy has largely recovered from first quarter weakness and not just in the second quarter but also early third quarter. The Fed may need to marginally move ahead its policy rate plans according to many economists.


Major Earnings for the Upcoming Week:

Monday:

A.M. –DF, GOGO, PCLN, SYY

P.M. – AMBC, APP, CZR, NUAN, RAX, VTR



Tuesday:

A.M. – CTIB, TW, VAL

P.M.-  CREE, FOSL, FTD, JDSU, KING, SYNC



Wednesday:

A.M. – CSIQ, DE, KATE, M, PF, SNE

P.M. – BGG, CSCO, NTAP, RMAX, SLW



Thursday:

A.M. – MANU, PRGO, PDO, RRGB, WMT

P.M. – A, ADSK, AMAT, CEP, DDS, JCP, JWN



Friday:

A.M. – EL



Economic Releases (8/11 - 8/15):

Monday:

N/A

                                                                                                                                                                                

Tuesday:

6:30 am CT – NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

6:45 am CT – GS Store Sales

8:45 am CT– JOLTS

12:00 pm CT – 3-Year Note Auction Results

1:00 pm CT – Treasury Budget

                                                                                                                                                                                                              

Wednesday:

6:00 am CT – MBA Purchase Applications

7:30 am CT – Retail Sales

8:05 am CT – Fed’s Dudley Speaks

8:20 am CT – Fed’s Rosengren Speaks

9:00 am CT – Business Inventories

9:30 am CT – Oil Inventories

12:00 pm CT – 10-Year Note Auction Results



Thursday:

7:30 am CT– Weekly Jobless Claims

7:30 am CT– Import & Export Prices

9:30 am CT – Natural Gas Inventories

12:00 pm CT – 30-Year Bond Auction Results

                                                                                                                                                                                                        

Friday:

7:30 am CT – PPI

7:30 am CT – Empire State Mfg. Survey

8:00 am CT – Treasury Intl. Capital

8:15 am CT– Industrial Production

8:55 am CT– Consumer Sentiment

9:45 am CT – Fed’s Kocherlakota Speaks

vegetable8

回复 99# mooncake

怎么没有 sina ? 不是 Thursday?

沁颍

不全。。。
回复 100# vegetable8

aimei

回复 100# vegetable8

Thursday after market close

我想飞

回复 99# mooncake


    谢谢分享好东东！

我想飞

回复 100# vegetable8


    是的，SINA 周四下午ER.

vegetable8

回复 104# 我想飞


    谢谢！