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标题: [闲谈] 20121019 YYB日间灌水 [打印本页]

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 09:12 标题: 20121019 YYB日间灌水

低开。

昨天报告里说了，看那个 Three white bar pattern 后的走势。

今天又是周五。收盘将影响周线的形态。今天又是 Option Stop Trading Day，所以是杀扑还是杀靠，拭目以待。

另外，除了关注谷歌之外，要特别关注苹果，下礼拜苹果财报是否会象上一季度一样，再次 miss 呢？

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 09:16

上次苹果财报后大跌。后来若不是耍流氓用法律把三星干掉，将股价拉回，还不知道咋样呢。

后来，跟进的人被爱疯5 锁在700 那高高的山顶上。

作者: Diver 时间: 2012-10-19 09:57

Tech is a Hot Mess

The clamor of bad news from tech only grew louder on Thursday thanks to a premature press release from Google showing a massive earnings miss. This was followed after hours by disappointing news from Microsoft. When you combine that with poor showings from Intel and IBM it becomes hard to find a silver lining from this news.

What does it mean?

This weak earnings season is only getting weaker. The number and variety of companies with lackluster news extends beyond these tech behemoths. It may become hard for the market as a whole to trudge higher at this stage without some stronger catalysts.

Yes, I recently said that stocks were undervalued. That is unchanged. But investors never take a straight path from undervalued to fair valued. Instead we take more of a meandering course with tons of detours and pauses for reflection.

So after moving up towards the highs once again, I think we will sink back lower in the range. And probably will stay there through the election. Afterwards, if the economy is improving as it is now, then we will likely have a Santa Claus rally that gets us to around 1500.

As such, I am lightening up my long positions til early November in my trading account. Then plan on getting back to 100% long with good odds of making new highs to ring in the New Year.

作者: not4weak 时间: 2012-10-19 10:09

估计苹果的会好吧，但股票不大动l

作者: Diver 时间: 2012-10-19 10:09

Existing Home Sales

Released On 10/19/2012 10:00:00 AM For Sep, 2012

	Prior	Consensus	Consensus Range	Actual
Existing Home Sales - Level - SAAR	4.82 M	4.750 M	4.530 M to 4.820 M	4.75 M
Existing Home Sales - M/M Change	7.8 %			-1.7 %

Market Consensus before announcement
Existing home sales rose strongly for a second straight month, up 7.8 percent in August to an annual unit rate of 4.82 million. This was the largest monthly percentage gain since last August and the highest rate since May 2010. All regions showed high single digit gains in the month. Supply on the market, at 6.1 months at the current sales rate, remains tight and may be limiting sales.

Definition
Existing home sales tally the number of previously constructed homes, condominium and co-ops in which a sale closed during the month. Existing homes (also known as home resales) account for a larger share of the market than new homes and indicate housing market trends. (National Association of Realtors)

Please note: Your browser must display iFrames to view the Interactive charts.

2012 Release Schedule
Released On: 1/20 2/22 3/21 4/19 5/22 6/21 7/19 8/22 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/20
Release For: Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 10:16

估计苹果的会好吧，但股票不大动l
not4weak 发表于 2012-10-19 09:09

下破？？

作者: Diver 时间: 2012-10-19 10:27

等一会儿会出现奇迹，SPY会去试图补今天早上的跳空。

今天收空心红棒棒，下周一上涨或向上跳空开盘。

作者: Diver 时间: 2012-10-19 10:28

今天的高点还没到，至少会在145.82之上。

作者: not4weak 时间: 2012-10-19 10:35

回复 8# Diver

我怀疑，没有一个好股能起来
一跌就得11天

作者: Diver 时间: 2012-10-19 10:38

Investment decisions of late have mirrored not only central bank stimulus measures, but also improving expectations for global growth, driving US equities to near multi-month highs. China’s third quarter GDP data showed 7.4% expansion, heralded by Beijing as showing the economy stabilized and encouraging traders that a hard landing had been avoided. Eurozone peripheral nations’ bond yields are easing and several auctions have lately been well-received as Spain seemed headed for a bailout that would ease sovereign debt tensions there and Greece appeared on track to receive approval for its next tranche of aid. The US recovery has also shown signs of a strengthening consumer segment – 80% of its economy - with housing markets on the mend, consumer sentiment high and retail sales strong. An improving global landscape seemed to warrant traders’ acceptance of a weak third quarter earnings season that would record a profit decline, its first quarterly earnings fall since the third quarter of 2009, especially as estimates for the profit drop have been reduced to a 1.5% YoY fall from an earlier forecast of a 2.3% drop.

作者: Diver 时间: 2012-10-19 10:38

Investors have been willing to push markets higher even as Beijing’s sanguine reactions to the country’s inline 7.4% GDP growth suggested the PBOC unlikely to provide major stimulus measures, given steady employment levels and urban households’ wage gains. EU leaders made some progress on establishing a banking union, agreeing to a January 1 timetable for the framework of an EU banking regulator, but only one step toward establishing the banking union that would allow the E500 billion European Stability Mechanism (ESM) to begin cash injections directly into Spanish banks. And at home, a weakening manufacturing segment, stagnant job growth and the approaching fiscal cliff and Presidential election make it difficult to dismiss disappointments within the lowered bar of corporate results.

作者: not4weak 时间: 2012-10-19 10:49

买144扑?
估计翻倍

作者: aimei 时间: 2012-10-19 11:06

三个雄哥

作者: catbear 时间: 2012-10-19 11:33

今天和下周一，是最后的两天买入的机会。后面就一路推到新高了。

我会在今天买一半。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 11:45

苹果下破后一个小时都不能回去。Confirm 的可能性大了。

下探1430并且下破的可能性大增。

作者: aimei 时间: 2012-10-19 11:46

回复 13# aimei

I bot

作者: springwishes 时间: 2012-10-19 12:11

回复 14# catbear

是不是等碰50均线再买比较好啊

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 12:20

回复 catbear

是不是等碰50均线再买比较好啊
springwishes 发表于 2012-10-19 11:11

再碰MA50，呵呵，不认为会守的住

作者: dsp 时间: 2012-10-19 12:36

今天和下周一，是最后的两天买入的机会。后面就一路推到新高了。

我会在今天买一半。
catbear 发表于 2012-10-19 11:33

Did you say 1450 must be held in OE?

作者: banlangen 时间: 2012-10-19 12:48

下周SPX可能要见１４０９

刚看了图，明白的太晚鸟

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 12:59

本帖最后由 CoolMax 于 2012-10-19 13:00 编辑

ES都止盈了。

果果，狗狗震出来了。

目前手里只有TLT空头仓位。

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 13:01

跌吧，跌吧，跌完了，继续捞！

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 13:47

本帖最后由 cellphone 于 2012-10-19 12:50 编辑

今天，所有的“靠” take blood bath 了。。。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 13:47

新低？？

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 13:48

MA（50）今天在1433。。。。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 13:52

由于靠MA（50）太近，估计收盘前有剧烈的动作。。。大家要有心理准备呀。。。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 13:56

本帖最后由 cellphone 于 2012-10-19 13:06 编辑

今天这样的走势，真的按昨天报告里 1 后的 pattern 走势走。再后面如果参照 1 的 pattern，俺。。。俺。。。汗

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 14:00

今天这样的走势，真的按 1 后的 pattern 走势走。再后面如果参照 1 的 pattern，俺。。。俺。。。:S ...
cellphone 发表于 2012-10-19 13:56

多头没有仓位了，爱跌跌。钱钱已经落袋。

跌够了，正好抄底。

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 14:01

话又说回来，熊熊梦想的大跌，是没有可能的。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:07

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:08

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 14:08

（1475+1425）/2 = 1450

大概按照这个中轴震荡吧。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:11

本周的收盘（还有一小时50分钟），可能会阿哥雷。。。大家小心。。。

作者: RedCedar 时间: 2012-10-19 14:12

再碰MA50，呵呵，不认为会守的住
cellphone 发表于 2012-10-19 12:20

Thanks! 今天的棍子是有点过大.

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:20

本帖最后由 cellphone 于 2012-10-19 13:22 编辑

blood bath ...

作者: RedCedar 时间: 2012-10-19 14:20

cellphone 发表于 2012-10-19 14:08

Thanks ! I almost get into long of aapl. This time, be a chicken helps.

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 14:22

从VIX看，下周有抄底机会。

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 14:24

GOOG捞一些，过周末。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:27

MA（50）。。。。1433 破了。。。。。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:28

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:30

1431.92

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:31

止损盘触发了。。。。

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 14:34

止损盘触发了。。。。
cellphone 发表于 2012-10-19 14:31

谁在这里止损？

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:36

谁在这里止损？
CoolMax 发表于 2012-10-19 13:34

如果是俺看多，俺长线的STOP会放在MA50下方。。。

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 14:39

如果是俺看多，俺长线的STOP会放在MA50下方。。。
cellphone 发表于 2012-10-19 14:36

现在讲求精细操作。动作快，否则牛熊都很难赚钱。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:41

现在讲求精细操作。动作快，否则牛熊都很难赚钱。
CoolMax 发表于 2012-10-19 13:39

明白了。。。那些鸡精经理们大概不做长线。。。。

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:48

下周苹果财报，将有好戏看了。。。凹八不会到那里造数据吧？

作者: cellphone 时间: 2012-10-19 14:57

作者: catbear 时间: 2012-10-19 15:53

买了一半。gld, sso, ure, ...

作者: aimei 时间: 2012-10-19 15:55

回复 49# catbear

ure 是怎么？

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 15:56

下周可抄底，吼吼！

作者: aimei 时间: 2012-10-19 15:57

回复 51# CoolMax

等
老大倒是吼吼吼

作者: CoolMax 时间: 2012-10-19 16:00

周末愉快！

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